S&P 5007,659.44-1.09%Nasdaq26,140.03-2.15%Dow52,002.41-0.34%Nikkei 22565,324.29+1.39%Hang Seng24,186.83+0.52%EuroStoxx 506,204.23+0.58%Dollar (DXY)101.84-0.16%EUR/USD1.12-0.17%USD/JPY157.96-0.12%GBP/USD1.33+0.27%USD/CNY6.68-0.21%US 10Y yield5.10+1bpUS 5Y yield4.90+0bpGold4,181.10+0.26%Silver57.31+0.82%Copper6.57+0.95%Platinum1,633.10+1.39%Palladium1,118.60-0.21%WTI99.02+1.07%Brent109.86+3.72%Henry Hub3.12-3.71%Gasoline3.14-1.13%Heating oil4.72-2.53%Wheat660.50-1.42%Corn474.25-0.78%Soybeans1,261.25-0.14%Coffee305.55+3.65%Sugar20.85-1.33%Cocoa5,686.00-2.49%Cotton80.00-0.07%Lithium ETF64.05-2.32%Uranium ETF35.43-1.91%Rare Earths ETF54.23-2.71%Copper Miners ETF79.98-1.05%Bitcoin81,038.58-0.42%Ethereum2,363.30-1.52%Solana101.86-1.41%S&P 5007,659.44-1.09%Nasdaq26,140.03-2.15%Dow52,002.41-0.34%Nikkei 22565,324.29+1.39%Hang Seng24,186.83+0.52%EuroStoxx 506,204.23+0.58%Dollar (DXY)101.84-0.16%EUR/USD1.12-0.17%USD/JPY157.96-0.12%GBP/USD1.33+0.27%USD/CNY6.68-0.21%US 10Y yield5.10+1bpUS 5Y yield4.90+0bpGold4,181.10+0.26%Silver57.31+0.82%Copper6.57+0.95%Platinum1,633.10+1.39%Palladium1,118.60-0.21%WTI99.02+1.07%Brent109.86+3.72%Henry Hub3.12-3.71%Gasoline3.14-1.13%Heating oil4.72-2.53%Wheat660.50-1.42%Corn474.25-0.78%Soybeans1,261.25-0.14%Coffee305.55+3.65%Sugar20.85-1.33%Cocoa5,686.00-2.49%Cotton80.00-0.07%Lithium ETF64.05-2.32%Uranium ETF35.43-1.91%Rare Earths ETF54.23-2.71%Copper Miners ETF79.98-1.05%Bitcoin81,038.58-0.42%Ethereum2,363.30-1.52%Solana101.86-1.41%
Commodity Spreads and Seasonality Weekly
The cointegration gate on every processing spread, the seasonal remainder underneath the refining calendar, and what followed a positioning extreme.
data as of 2026-10-06 · published 2026-10-13 · next update next Tuesday
TL;DR — the read in bullets
- 0 of 5 spreads pass the Engle-Granger gate at 0.05 this week, so 5 are published with a residual and no z-score.
- The 3-2-1 crack is 66.59 $/bbl at the 99.1th percentile of twenty years, and it fails the gate at p=0.221, so no mean-reversion number is attached to it.
3 further findings, 1 chart and the rest of the analysis are in the full report.
They are absent from this page, not hidden. View-source and check.
The full report is on Full Access.
See the plansAlready subscribed? Sign in.
MacroTerminal Research is market commentary and data analysis. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.