S&P 5007,659.44-1.09%Nasdaq26,140.03-2.15%Dow52,002.41-0.34%Nikkei 22565,324.29+1.39%Hang Seng24,186.83+0.52%EuroStoxx 506,204.23+0.58%Dollar (DXY)101.84-0.16%EUR/USD1.12-0.17%USD/JPY157.96-0.12%GBP/USD1.33+0.27%USD/CNY6.68-0.21%US 10Y yield5.10+1bpUS 5Y yield4.90+0bpGold4,181.10+0.26%Silver57.31+0.82%Copper6.57+0.95%Platinum1,633.10+1.39%Palladium1,118.60-0.21%WTI99.02+1.07%Brent109.86+3.72%Henry Hub3.12-3.71%Gasoline3.14-1.13%Heating oil4.72-2.53%Wheat660.50-1.42%Corn474.25-0.78%Soybeans1,261.25-0.14%Coffee305.55+3.65%Sugar20.85-1.33%Cocoa5,686.00-2.49%Cotton80.00-0.07%Lithium ETF64.05-2.32%Uranium ETF35.43-1.91%Rare Earths ETF54.23-2.71%Copper Miners ETF79.98-1.05%Bitcoin81,038.58-0.42%Ethereum2,363.30-1.52%Solana101.86-1.41%S&P 5007,659.44-1.09%Nasdaq26,140.03-2.15%Dow52,002.41-0.34%Nikkei 22565,324.29+1.39%Hang Seng24,186.83+0.52%EuroStoxx 506,204.23+0.58%Dollar (DXY)101.84-0.16%EUR/USD1.12-0.17%USD/JPY157.96-0.12%GBP/USD1.33+0.27%USD/CNY6.68-0.21%US 10Y yield5.10+1bpUS 5Y yield4.90+0bpGold4,181.10+0.26%Silver57.31+0.82%Copper6.57+0.95%Platinum1,633.10+1.39%Palladium1,118.60-0.21%WTI99.02+1.07%Brent109.86+3.72%Henry Hub3.12-3.71%Gasoline3.14-1.13%Heating oil4.72-2.53%Wheat660.50-1.42%Corn474.25-0.78%Soybeans1,261.25-0.14%Coffee305.55+3.65%Sugar20.85-1.33%Cocoa5,686.00-2.49%Cotton80.00-0.07%Lithium ETF64.05-2.32%Uranium ETF35.43-1.91%Rare Earths ETF54.23-2.71%Copper Miners ETF79.98-1.05%Bitcoin81,038.58-0.42%Ethereum2,363.30-1.52%Solana101.86-1.41%

Global Macro Divergence Weekly

The cross-section by growth-inflation box, the two-speed spread inside the US economy, the activity factor, and what followed the dated crossings the panels carry.

data as of 2026-10-15 · published 2026-10-15 · next update next Thursday

TL;DR — the read in bullets

Across 210 economies on projection for 2026, 100 sit in slowdown + inflation, and the four boxes split slowdown + inflation 100; expansion + inflation 45; slowdown + disinflation 43; expansion + disinflation 22.
Cross-sectional growth dispersion is 3.71, the 8.5th percentile of 45 years of the same measure.

teaser chart

4 further findings, 2 charts and the rest of the analysis are in the full report.

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MacroTerminal Research is market commentary and data analysis. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

MacroTerminal is a research publication and is not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

MacroTerminal is a research publication and is not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.